WN 3878 · SLC → DEN

departs 6:19 PM MT · arrives 7:49 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±9 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.76 in

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3878 · SLC → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?