WN 391 · LAS → LAX

departs 5:26 PM PT · arrives 6:40 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
40%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 391 · LAS → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?