WN 3993 · DEN → ELP

took off 10:38 AM MT · landed 11:59 AM MT (scheduled 10:27 AM MT → 12:24 PM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ELP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Gusts to 32 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ELP (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3993 · DEN → ELP

Odds over time

How late did it get to ELP?