WN 428 · LAS → PSP

departs 10:29 AM PT · arrives 11:37 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PSP?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PSP is prone to delays

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PSP (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 428 · LAS → PSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to PSP?