WN 428 · SLC → PHX

departs 5:30 PM MT · arrives 6:19 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±8 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,367 ft Visibility5.66667 mi Precip0.59 in

PHX (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 428 · SLC → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?