Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4315 LANDED 1:12 AM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 12 Today

WN 4315 · BWI → BDL

took off 12:13 AM ET · landed 1:12 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 19h after departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 429 ft, visibility down to 2.85714 mi forecast at BDL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.64286 mi forecast at BWI that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.29 in

BDL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4315 · BWI → BDL

Odds over time