WN 4325 · SFO → SAN

departs 12:05 PM PT · arrives 1:46 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±3 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 48% of the time recently

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,433 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4325 · SFO → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?