WN 4387 · DEN → SJC

took off 10:40 AM MT · landed 11:52 AM PT (scheduled 10:00 AM MT → 11:44 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SJC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4387 · DEN → SJC

Odds over time

How late did it get to SJC?