WN 451 · LAS → PHX

took off 9:11 AM PT · landed 9:55 AM MT (scheduled 8:49 AM PT → 10:05 AM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 451 · LAS → PHX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHX?