WN 4593 · MAF → LAS

departs 11:12 AM CT · arrives 11:32 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±6 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↓ 11am departures from MAF are usually not late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MAF (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4593 · MAF → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?