WN 4644 · LGA → DEN

took off 11:32 AM ET · expected to land 1:01 PM MT (scheduled 10:27 AM ET → 12:20 PM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

LIVE

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
83%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.08 in

DEN (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4644 · LGA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?