WN 4661 · DEN → ORF

took off 12:26 PM MT · landed 5:18 PM ET (scheduled 11:43 AM MT → 5:22 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ORF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into ORF at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ORF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORF (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4661 · DEN → ORF

Odds over time

How late did it get to ORF?