WN 4675 · SAN → BOS

departs 9:30 AM PT · arrives 5:55 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.16 in

BOS (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.69 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4675 · SAN → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?