WN 4725 · TPA → BWI

took off 6:03 AM ET · landed 7:55 AM ET (scheduled 5:14 AM ET → 7:40 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BWI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BWI that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from TPA are usually not late

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4725 · TPA → BWI

Odds over time

How late did it get to BWI?