WN 4732 · BNA → FLL

departs 7:02 PM CT · arrives 10:23 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4732 · BNA → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?