Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Monday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4733 SCHEDULED

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

WN 4733 · BDL → BWI

departs 5:50 PM ET · arrives 7:23 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 233 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at BWI that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BDL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling633 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.40 in

BWI (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling233 ft Visibility1.53333 mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4733 · BDL → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?