WN 4744 · CLE → BWI

departs 5:50 PM ET · arrives 7:18 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8583Z (B738), coming in as WN 4969 from BWI: in the air, landing about 4:58 PM ET, 45 min before departure.

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ 5pm departures from CLE are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLE (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.06 in

BWI (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4744 · CLE → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?