WN 4745 · COS → LAS

departs 12:33 PM MT · arrives 1:36 PM PT

Your aircraft is N231WN (B737), coming in as WN 206 from LAS: in the air, landing about 11:41 AM MT, 46 min before departure.

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4745 · COS → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?