WN 4900 · DEN → SLC

departs 1:10 PM MT · arrives 2:44 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±12 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ 1pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.76 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4900 · DEN → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?