WN 490 · BNA → BOS

departs 8:20 PM CT · arrives 11:51 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8855Q (B38M), coming in as WN 1547 from DEN: landed 7:48 PM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

81% chance · ±0 pts +24 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
54%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ 8pm departures from BNA are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 490 · BNA → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?