WN 497 · BNA → BWI

took off 3:20 PM CT · landed 5:38 PM ET (scheduled 2:42 PM CT → 5:39 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BWI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ 2pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BWI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.29 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 497 · BNA → BWI

Odds over time

How late did it get to BWI?