WN 519 · LGA → MCI

took off 9:31 AM ET · expected to land 10:59 AM CT (scheduled 8:28 AM ET → 10:27 AM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

99% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCI?

LIVE

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
80%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ LGA is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into MCI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.08 in

MCI (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 519 · LGA → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?