Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Monday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 527 LANDED 2:37 AM PT, ~37 MIN LATE

Monday, October 12 Today

WN 527 · PHX → RNO

took off 1:20 AM MT · landed 2:37 AM PT (scheduled 12:11 AM MT → 2:05 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RNO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ 12am departures from PHX are often late

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RNO (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 527 · PHX → RNO

Odds over time

How late did it get to RNO?