WN 560 · BWI → BOS

departs 10:42 AM ET · arrives 12:11 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±4 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 267 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BWI that day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 10am departures from BWI are usually not late

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling233 ft Visibility0.866667 mi Precip0.32 in

BOS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 560 · BWI → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?