WN 575 · LAS → BWI

departs 2:02 PM PT · arrives 9:30 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±8 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BWI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling10,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 575 · LAS → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?