WN 645 · DTW → LAS

departs 1:23 PM ET · arrives 2:41 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±6 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 645 · DTW → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?