WN 784 · BOS → BNA

departs 6:04 PM ET · arrives 7:54 PM CT

Your aircraft is N8853Q (B38M), coming in as WN 2849 from BWI: landed 5:45 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
38%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

BNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 784 · BOS → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?