WN 790 · BWI → MCO

departs 12:54 PM ET · arrives 3:26 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8697C (B738), coming in as WN 8505 from GSO: landed 1:29 AM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

82% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi forecast at BWI that day

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.24 in

MCO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 790 · BWI → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?