Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 800
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
WN 800 · PHX → SEA
departs 7:50 AM MT · arrives 10:42 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/13 28%
Wed 10/14 27%
Thu 10/15 25%
Fri 10/16 28%
Sat 10/17 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.