WN 884 · MDW → STL

departs 2:43 PM CT · arrives 4:00 PM CT

Your aircraft is N288WN (B737), coming in as WN 884 from BUR: in the air, landing about 1:40 PM CT, 59 min before departure.

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 884 · MDW → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?