WN 888 · BNA → MCO

took off 9:55 AM CT · expected to land 12:15 PM ET (scheduled 9:11 AM CT → 12:11 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCO?

LIVE

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
38%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 888 · BNA → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?