Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 939
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
WN 939 · BWI → ALB
departs 10:32 AM ET · arrives 11:58 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Mon 10/12
Thu 10/15 7%
Fri 10/16 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.4d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at ALB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ALB?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.733333 mi forecast at BWI that day
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ALB that day
↓
ALB usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.21 in
ALB (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.