WN 974 · BWI → CHS

departs 4:17 PM ET · arrives 6:10 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BWI that day

↑ 4pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.33 in

CHS (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling9,714 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 974 · BWI → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?