Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 975
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
WN 975 · BWI → BOS
departs 5:34 PM ET · arrives 7:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/12
Thu 10/15 37%
Fri 10/16 51%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±6 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from BWI are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 233 ft Visibility 1.2 mi Precip 0.35 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.69 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.