Y4 7848 · OAX → LAX

departs 9:42 AM CST · arrives 1:02 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±9 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OAX

↓ 9am departures from OAX are usually not late

Weather at each end

OAX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

Y4 7848 · OAX → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?