Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AIR PREMIA · FLIGHT YP 102 IN THE AIR (OFF 11:03 AM PT, ETA 3:17 PM KST) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 12 Today

YP 102 · LAX → ICN

took off 11:03 AM PT · expected to land 3:17 PM KST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at ICN more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±2 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from LAX are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ICN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.24 in

ICN (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YP 102 · LAX → ICN

Odds over time