YX 3433 · DTW → EWR

departs 3:00 PM ET · arrives 4:52 PM ET

Your aircraft is N754YX (E75L), coming in as YX 3552 from IAD: landed 2:03 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3433 · DTW → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?