tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3453 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 5:40 PM ET (18 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

YX 3453 · IAD → YYZ

departs 5:12 PM ET · arrives 6:52 PM EDT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.7d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to YYZ?

  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.