YX 3619 · EWR → RIC

departs 8:22 AM ET · arrives 9:55 AM ET

Your aircraft is N786YX (E75L), coming in as YX 3529 from YOW: landed 7:19 AM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at RIC that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ EWR is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into RIC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

RIC (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3619 · EWR → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?