YX 4339 · LGA → DTW

took off 11:51 AM ET · landed 1:15 PM ET (scheduled 11:15 AM ET → 1:17 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DTW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from LGA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DTW that day

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.08 in

DTW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4339 · LGA → DTW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DTW?