YX 4397 · JFK → BOS

took off 5:06 PM ET · landed 5:43 PM ET (scheduled 3:30 PM ET → 4:46 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BOS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.10 in

BOS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4397 · JFK → BOS

Odds over time

How late did it get to BOS?