tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4409 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 3:14 PM ET (18 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

YX 4409 · LGA → IND

departs 2:46 PM ET · arrives 5:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
37% chance · ±4 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.6d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IND?

  1. On time or early
    63%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    14%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.