YX 5628 · BOS → IND

took off 9:09 AM ET · landed 11:07 AM ET (scheduled 7:35 AM ET → 10:16 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to IND?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

IND (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility0.75 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5628 · BOS → IND

Odds over time

How late did it get to IND?