YX 5740 · PHL → BOS

took off 6:07 AM ET · landed 6:55 AM ET (scheduled 6:00 AM ET → 7:30 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BOS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at PHL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.35 in

BOS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5740 · PHL → BOS

Odds over time

How late did it get to BOS?