YX 5845 · BOS → PHL

departs 6:50 AM ET · arrives 8:30 AM ET

Your aircraft is N239JQ (E75S), coming in as YX 5718 from EWR: landed 11:06 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at PHL that day

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.44 in

PHL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.77 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5845 · BOS → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?