Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ZIPAIR · FLIGHT ZG 16 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 12 Today

ZG 16 · NRT → IAH

departs 10:42 PM JST · arrives 7:34 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at NRT

↓ ZG's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

NRT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

ZG 16 · NRT → IAH

Odds over time