Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4677 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

9E 4677 · DTW → MDW

departs 5:32 PM ET · arrives 5:56 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4677 · DTW → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?