Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4935 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

9E 4935 · DTW → PVD

departs 2:30 PM ET · arrives 4:21 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PVD?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at PVD that day

↑ 2pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PVD (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4935 · DTW → PVD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVD?