9E 5110 · STL → LGA

departs 9:58 AM CT · arrives 1:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5110 · STL → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?