Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5350 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

9E 5350 · ROC → DTW

departs 5:05 PM ET · arrives 6:29 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±4 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ROC that day

↑ 5pm departures from ROC are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ROC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ROC (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

DTW (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5350 · ROC → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?